Daytona 500 Favorites To Win
2021 NASCAR Instacart 500 Odds
- Odds Of Winning Daytona 500
- Daytona 500 Favorites To Win 2021
- Daytona 500 Favorites To Win 500
- Daytona 500 Favorites To Win 2020
Another reason Hamlin is the favorite to win Saturday night's race is his 88.3 career driver rating at Daytona, the second best in the field behind Kyle Busch's 90.7. Denny Hamlin (11) is the betting favorite to win Sunday at Daytona International Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports Risk Free First Bet up to $600 Go to BetMGM Sportsbook. Logano Opens as Daytona 500 Favorite. To some, it’s a bit of a surprise that Logano is the early favorite at the Daytona 500. After all, he hasn’t won at Daytona International Speedway since 2015. Since then, his results are 22nd, 6th, 4th, 6th, 35th, 4th, 39th, 4th and 25th. We break down the favorites to win the 61st running of the Daytona 500, according to Las Vegas sports book odds. Who is the favorite? Daytona 500 odds: 9-1 2018 Daytona 500 finish: 15th Best. Take a look at six favorites to win the Daytona 500 on Sunday, February 17, 2019 and why they are looked at as strong contenders at the track.
- Date: Sunday, March 14, 2021
- Venue: Phoenix Raceway
- Location: Avondale, Arizona
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2021 NASCAR Cup Series - Championship
- Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021
- Venue: Phoenix Speedway
- Location: Phoenix, Arizona
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Updated Mon, Mar. 8, 11:30 AM ET - Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
- Where to Bet:
How To Bet Auto Racing Futures
The “Odds to Win” wager in auto racing is very simple to understand. Put simply, you just need to select the driver that will capture the checkered flag of the race You select any of the drivers in the race and your payout for the bet will depend on the odds given at the time of the wager. This wager can be placed until the race begins.
To figure out your Win Amount, take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered. Ex. Jimmie Johnson (5/2) - Jimmie Johnson is listed as a 5/2 betting choice. If you wager $100 on Johnson to win the event and he comes in first, then you would win $250 (5 ÷ 2 x 100). You would collect $350, which includes your win and stake ($100).
What does the FIELD mean? Many races will include a betting selection called the Field. This bet consists of all drivers not listed in the “Odds to Win.” Most races have a set number of drivers but it’s rare to see oddsmakers put a price on every driver that will race. Drivers that are given the least opportunity to win the race will be grouped into the “Field” odds and paid out accordingly if they win.
Instacart 500 Odds to Win
On Sunday, Mar. 14 2021, the 2021 NASCAR season will head to Phoenix Raceway for the Instacart 500, which takes place from Avondale, Arizona. There are plenty of contenders expected to be in the hunt for the fifth points race of the 2021 season.
- Chase Elliott +500
- Denny Hamlin +600
- Kevin Harvick +600
- Brad Keselowski +700
- Kyle Busch +800
- Joey Logano +800
Betting on NASCAR Odds
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Our experts offer picks on all the big auto racing events. Check out our preview content or pick packages for the most up to date NASCAR predictions.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/68817107/usa_today_15561808.0.jpg "Daytona 500 favorites to win real money")
What type of bets can I make on NASCAR races?
The future odds show each racer's odds to win an event outright. Certain sportsbook may also offer other betting angles, such as Top 3 Finish, Top 5 Finish, and Car Number Over/Under.
Where can I learn how to bet on auto racing?
To learn more about betting on NASCAR and other auto races, check out our auto racing betting tutorial.
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Daytona 500 Picks
- Date: Sunday, February 14, 2021
- TV-Time: FOX, 2:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Daytona International Speedway
- Location: Daytona Beach, Florida
Handicapping NASCAR at Daytona
In the previous 62 Daytona 500s, no driver has won three straight of NASCAR’s most prestigious race and we haven’t seen anyone get the opportunity since Sterling Marlin tried in the 1996 event. But 2021 gives us a chance to watch history as Denny Hamlin will try to win his third straight Daytona 500 on Sunday and he’s fully aware of what is at stake.
'I hope that I'm around (don't wreck early), that I give myself a chance to make history because ultimately, that's what I'm here for,' Hamlin said. 'Making history, doing something that no one else has ever done, that's what motivates me to want to get this one.'
He also will be shooting for his fourth Daytona 500 which would tie him with Cale Yarborough for second-most behind Richard Petty’s seven wins. He has a chance to make history and that’s the main theme coming into the 63rd running of the race.
There are only five active drivers other than Hamlin to win a Daytona 500 and all of them have one win each. Some of the best superspeedway drivers, or those from the restrictor-plate era, have retired and taken their secrets of manipulating the air in the draft. But the 40-year-old Hamlin learned in his younger years by watching the greats and finally won a superspeedway race in his ninth season racing on them at Talladega in 2014.
Now he’s got five superspeedway wins, winning two of four last season -- top-four in all four -- closing out with a Talladega win. He led laps in all four superspeedway races last season and used different strategies in all. He’d either get upfront and lead to keep the ‘Big One’ behind him or fall behind to keep an eye in front of him with enough room to avoid the inevitable pile up that always happens on superspeedways. He’s been successful at both.
Denny Hamlin seeks a third consecutive Daytona 500 title on Sunday afternoon. (AP)
He’s also got Joe Gibbs Racing equipment which has worked hard to be competitive in the opener at Daytona. Matt Kenseth led a bunch of laps on superspeedways for JGR, Erik Jones got a summer Daytona win in 2018, and Kyle Busch has the top Daytona rating (91.1) among all drivers since NASCAR's Loop Data started keeping track in 2005. Hamlin is rated No. 2 (88.7) over that span.
In Wednesday morning’s first practice before qualifying, JGR equipment posted the top-five speeds with the new 2021 entry, Bubba Wallace, fastest with his Michael Jordan-Hamlin-owned No. 23.
The point is that it hasn’t all been Hamlin, but he’s been the one to use his skills the best and get out front lately. He uses the side-draft better than anyone and he blocks while leading better than anyone which is why we’re talking about him possibly winning for the third straight season. The car rules and race packages are the same as 2020, although Hamlin’s winning Daytona 500 car from last season is on display at Daytona USA.
NASCAR Cup Odds - Daytona
- Denny Hamlin +800
- Chase Elliott +1000
- Joey Logano +1000
- Ryan Blaney +1000
- Brad Keselowski +1400
- William Byron +1400
- (Odds Subject to Change)
William Hill sportsbooks have him listed as the 8-to-1 favorite while Circa Sports updated numbers Wednesday have him favored at 11-to-1 odds, the best number in the world.
I’ve been saying for years to be careful and be smart wagering every time there’s a superspeedway race. It’s repetitive but I feel it’s important to remind you all that the volatility of these two tracks changes the true driver rating for each driver because they’re more susceptible to being caught up in a wreck at no fault of their than other tracks.
That’s why I say ditch the props and driver match-ups, but spend some more than usual on odds to win mixing in weighted amounts on a couple of favorites like Hamlin or Ryan Blaney (14/1), middle of the board drivers like Kyle Busch (19/1), Wallace (28/1), Chris Buescher (51/1), and a long shot like Jones (60/1) or Ryan Newman (60/1).
Odds Of Winning Daytona 500
The sportsbooks know this as well which is why they don’t offer any huge odds on the long shots but offer big odds on the favorites. It’s the randomness, the crapshoot of it all where any driver can win. As the wrecks start happening, you start throwing bet tickets away, but for the final five laps, you may have three of the 10 drivers in the lead pack and have just as good of a shot as any.
Last season I had tickets on Hamlin and Newman in that situation and I got lucky, but I believed in Newman and the Roush equipment for superspeedways. I still do to an extent with Newman and Buescher, who finished third in the Daytona 500.
Let’s talk about some contenders to derail Hamlin’s quest for history beginning with his new employee Wallace who William Hill is offering at 28-to-1 odds.
Daytona 500 Contenders
The Toyota’s have the least amount of friends and the drivers always choose manufacturers of their own to draft with which is all the more reason to be astounded by Hamlin’s success. The Fords and Chevrolets all have more cars on the track than Toyota. But Hamlin just got a new wingman with Wallace in case Martin Truex, Jr., Busch, or Christopher Bell aren’t around to push him.
Wallace had three top-fives in his three seasons with Richard Petty Motorsports and two of them came at Daytona, including a runner-up as a rookie in 2018. It’s the only type of racing he had success with continuously where he could find his way to the front. But now he has basically a JGR car with Michael Jordan money attached and crew chief Mike Wheeler who was chief for Hamlin in the 2016 Daytona 500 win. This car is going to be fast and contending for the win while also pushing or being pushed by Hamlin.
I instantly thought of the 2001 Daytona 500 when Dale Earnhardt, just before he passed, was blocking for his two DEI cars driven by Michael Waltrip and Dale Earnhardt, Jr. and gave up his chance to win -- he had a fast RCR No. 3 that day -- to let his two cars battle it out. He had never given anybody anything like that in his career.
That scenario won’t play out here because Hamlin is going for three straight, but I’m sure at some point we’ll see Hamlin have a hand at helping Wallace gets his first career Cup win, and if I could bet where it’ll happen I would say on one of the four superspeedway races.
Team Penske has a great superspeedway package but only Joey Logano has a Daytona 500 win (2015). Brad Keselowski has a 2016 win at Daytona in the summer race and five other wins at Talladega.
Ryan Blaney has won at Talladega in each of the last two seasons and was runner-up in the Daytona 500 last season. They all have fast cars and all are also very good at understanding how the draft works. They also have friends from Roush, Front Row Motorsports, Wood Brothers, and Stewart-Haas Racing that drives Fords and can help in the draft.
.JPG/1200px-Carl_Edwards_at_the_Daytona_500_(cropped).JPG "Daytona 500 favorites to win numbers")
The Chevy camp comes loaded with speed and young talent. Chevrolet has won the Daytona 500 pole the last eight seasons, and a Hendrick engine has won the last six, five of which were by a Hendrick driver.
William Byron (16/1) won last summer at Daytona for his first career Cup win. He’s a nice pick to take his next logical step into NASCAR stardom in a year that just saw Kenseth, Jimmie Johnson,, and Clint Bowyer retire.
Daytona 500 Favorites To Win 2021
Chase Elliott (14/1) comes off his first championship season and NASCAR is hoping for more to come -- see seven road courses on the 2021 schedule. But he’s never won at Daytona in a points-paying race. This would be a great place for the champ to bust out and gain an even bigger audience of young fans. Chase just has a quiet coolness about him and is hard not to like.
Daytona 500 Favorites To Win 500
Back to only five active drivers that have Daytona 500 wins other than Hamlin. Earnhardt went almost an entire career racing and dominating all races at Daytona until finally winning the Daytona 500 in 1998. Tony Stewart never won one. Kyle Busch starts his 17th Daytona 500 searching for his first win. Keselowski is also still searching for his trophy, so is Truex, and so is Elliott -- all Cup champions.
As always, I’ll go for the historical moment to happen and I supported Hamlin through the betting window, along with a few other guys I mentioned in this piece. Here are my top-5 selections using odds from Circa Sports Las Vegas:
Daytona 500
Top-5 Finish Prediction
- 1) #11 Denny Hamlin (11/1)
- 2) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)
- 3) #10 Aric Almirola (24/1)
- 4) #47 Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. (26/1)
- 5) #24 William Byron (16/1)